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The Leafs' PK: Does it suck this much?

Toronto Maple Leafs goalie Vesa Toskala, left, of Finland, stands near teammates Matt Stajan (14) and Luke Schenn (2) as the New York Rangers celebrate a goal by Ryan Callahan during the first period of an NHL hockey game Monday, Oct. 12, 2009, in New York.  (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

More photos » Frank Franklin II - AP

4 months ago: Toronto Maple Leafs goalie Vesa Toskala, left, of Finland, stands near teammates Matt Stajan (14) and Luke Schenn (2) as the New York Rangers celebrate a goal by Ryan Callahan during the first period of an NHL hockey game Monday, Oct. 12, 2009, in New York. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)


I won't keep you in suspense.  Yes, it does.  Toronto actually spends a below-average amount of time at 4-on-5, but that's primarily because they give up so many goals that their penalty-kills end early.  Their 4-on-5 save percentage tells the story:

07-08 08-09 09-10
SPCT 849 833 708
RANK 28 30 29

 

(You can see league-wide data here for 2007-08, 2008-09 and 2009-10.)

It would be nice to blame that all on Vesa Toskala, but he's fundamentally a league-average goaltender, as hard as that may be to accept.  No, the problem is with the Leafs PK.  Let's take a look at the last two seasons:

07-08 08-09 NHL Avg
Shot Distance 33.7 ft 31.2 ft 34.5 ft
Rank 24 30
Shot Volume 67.3 76.9 67.4
Rank 21 26

 

So the Leafs weren't great in 2007-08 and they were basically the worst in the league in 2008-09.  (In case you were wondering, they've given up 103 shots/60 this season, at an average distance of 28.3 ft.  But it's early yet.)  It doesn't matter who you have in goal - their stats aren't going to look good when you're this bad defensively.  If Toskala had played behind a league-average defense, you'd think he was a league-average goalie, because that's basically what he is.  There's no goalie in the entire league - perhaps in history - who the Leafs could have ridden to the 8th playoff spot in the East last year.

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well

that settles that.
Time for Burke to make some changes.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Oct 14, 2009 11:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

impressive

This is what I’d suspected for awhile but could never prove. This is great stuff, to be sure.

by Vent on Oct 14, 2009 11:48 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey Gabe

Glad to see you’ve joined SBN!

Request – where could I find the longest winless streak for each of last year’s playoff teams? Umm… it’s for a friend. Yeah, that’s it.

by Godd Till on Oct 14, 2009 7:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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