Rob Vollman on Victor Hedman and Swedish Elite League Translations

by Hawerchuk on Oct 16, 2009 2:23 PM EDT Comment 4 comments

Rob Vollman has a piece at Puck Prospectus on translating players from the SEL to the NHL. He does a better job than I did over the years of figuring this stuff out by normalizing for the different offensive levels - both in goals and assists in each league. There are still some factors we could add to the model (if we had them) - TOI, Quality of Competition, and in Hedman's case, age. Height and weight play a role too. And, of course, these translations assume a guy is good enough to actually play in the NHL.

Anyways, for those who are interested in translation factors for junior, the minors and european leagues, Rob's going to run through all of them in the coming weeks.

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Gab the thing here is with ice time for the 09 prospects, MPS and Lander as well as others got well below 10 minutes per game and Hedman well over 20.

When doing translations how do we take this into account? Do we find a average ice time from the sample used in the translation study and adjust accordingly per player?

by Moneypuck on Oct 17, 2009 9:07 PM EDT reply actions

Not much we can do yet – we have two years of SEL ice time data, and one year for the KHL and SM-Liiga. But you can see how much better our projections would be if we knew one guy played twice as many minutes as another. I think there will be a lot of big surprises when we get Canadian junior ice time.

by Hawerchuk on Oct 17, 2009 11:00 PM EDT reply actions