Behind The Net: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Off Tackle Empire interviews Rich Rodriguez

Frequently Asked Questions #6: Shot Distance

This is Part 6 in a many part series of answers to frequently asked questions about hockey analysis.  Here are Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4 and Part 5.

What's the most important aspect of shooting?  Other things being equal, it's distance - how far you are away from the net.  Once you take hundreds of thousands of shots, all of the things that might impact shooting percentage, like shooting angle or screens or 2-on-1s or individual shooting skill or goaltending, are a wash.  Here's a chart that shows that relationship:

Shot_dist_medium

There are only 1/3 as many shots at 5-on-4 as at 5-on-5, so the PP curve isn't quite as smooth as the ES one.  But the behavior is the same - continuously increasing from the blue line right into the crease, with shots slightly more likely to go in on the PP than at even-strength.

Star-divide

Every player understands this implicitly and obviously tries to get as close to the net as possible before shooting.  It's why forwards score more than defensemen.  But it's not clear if shooting distance is something forwards can actually reduce, or if it's in their best interests.  Shooting distance stats by shot type are available here for forwards for 2007-08 and 2008-09.  As I noted in Part 3 on Corsi Numbers, shooting percentage is heavily-influenced by luck, while shot volume is often a better indicator of expected performance.

Looking over the average shooting distances for defensemen, it seems like they might have a bit more control over how far away they shoot from.  On the 2008-09 list, part-time forwards Dustin Byfuglien and Mathieu Dandenault are 1-2, with Dan Boyle at #3, while they're 1-3-5 in 2007-08.  Boyle being #1 among full-time defensemen isn't surprising, but at the same time, there are plenty of defensemen with some offensive skill at the bottom of the list.

0 recs  |  Comment 2 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Byfuglien & Dandenault

Those guys were frequently used as forwards over the last couple of years. Strudwick and Ian white have spent some time as wingers and they too appear relatively high on the lists.

Great primers, btw.

by sisu on Oct 9, 2009 10:41 AM EDT reply actions  

That’s true. I was thinking about that at the time…It’s their secret to getting close to the net!

by Hawerchuk on Oct 9, 2009 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Hockey Analysis and Statistics
Start posting on Behind The Net »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Pens_ring_small
Why The Kovalchuk Contract Is Unique
Ryan_small
Koivu's contract compared to Plekanec & Backstrom
Dsc_0572_small
Wimbledon Black Swan
Pens_ring_small
Individual PDO Numbers

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SBNation.com Recent Stories

PHILADELPHIA - MAY 16:  A fan of the Philadelphia Flyers holds up a sign reading "Next Goalie" behind goalie Carey Price #32 of the Montreal Canadiens in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals during the 2010 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs at Wachovia Center on May 16, 2010 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

Habs Finally Lock Up Carey Price, Sign Goalie To Two-Year Deal

National Hockey League commissioner Gary Bettman answers questions during a pre-game media availability before the Pittsburgh Penguins season opener against the New York Rangers in a NHL hockey game in Pittsburgh, Friday, Oct. 2, 2009. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar) +25 updates

Ultimatum? NHL Reportedly Threatens To Toss Out Kovalchuk, Luongo Deals Without NHLPA Concessions

Photo +1 updates

Report: Donald Fehr Hands NHLPA List Of Conditions On Becoming Union Leader

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Hawerchuk_small Hawerchuk